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The 667 Half Term Report
How It Works
Ignoring the old cliché of taking it one game at a time, I look at the season in two lots of 6, 6 and 7 games. At the end of each batch I compare this season's results with the same games last season. The promoted teams are paired with last season's relegated teams. With 19 games gone we are exactly half way through the season. Now read on...
The Story So Far
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The first batch of six games was a disaster. Only four points compared to 10 last season. We've been playing catch-up ever since. Five of those were lost in the home games with Everton and Fulham.
Then came the recovery. 11 points from the next 6 matches compared to 6 points last time put us right back in the frame. This time our home form helped, with 6 points instead of one from the West Ham and Chelsea games.
Now Read On
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In the last 7 games we've picked up 13 points compared to 12 last season. So that means we've completely recovered from the poor start and have the same number of points (28) from the same games as last season. Two more points from the home game with <st1lace w:st="on">Wigan</st1
lace> more than offset the one point lost at The Goons, and brought us back to par.
Goalswise it was 23-18 at this stage last season compared to 23-25 this time. Which is rather odd when you consider most fans agree that this is the best defence we've had ages.
We've lost six of the equivalent fixtures this season compared to five last season.
The Next Six Matches
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The next six games are Aston Villa (H), Liverpool (H), Portsmouth (A), Newcastle United (H), Fulham (A) and Everton (A). That lot brought us 11 points last time. I'd be hopeful we could equal or improve on that, although maybe in a different mix.
We'll be doing well to win at Fratton and <st1lacename w:st="on">Goodison</st1
lacename> <st1
lacetype w:st="on">Parks</st1
lacetype> as we did last season, but I'd expect more than two points from the home games with Villa, <st1
lace w:st="on">Liverpool</st1
lace> and away at Fulham.
A word of caution though: to reach last term's total of 65 points we'll have to pick up 37 points in the second half of the season. A tall order indeed.
Top Six Rivals
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Of course 65 points in itself doesn't guarantee us anything; it depends on how well the other teams are doing as to where we'll finish. So what of our current competitors for a top 6 place?
<st1lace w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Portsmouth</st1:city></st1
lace> are certainly up there at the moment. We'll be down at their place on New Year's Day, and it will be a tough job to emulate last season's win. But Pompey have a difficult run-in, playing <st1:city w:st="on">Chelsea</st1:city>, <st1
lace w:st="on">Liverpool</st1
lace>, Man U and Arsenal in four of their last five home games.
And what of perennial party poopers <st1lace w:st="on">Bolton</st1
lace>? Haven't they been doing well recently? Well yes, but there is a reason for that. They haven't had the kind of fixtures we've had. Whereas we only have to go to Chelsea in the second half of the season, Fat Sam's boys still have to go to ALL of last season's top four, starting at Anfield on New Year's Day. And their last six away games include the other three plus <st1:street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">White Hart Lane</st1:address></st1:street>.
Villa, having lost to Man U, now have us (A), Chelsea (H) and Man U (A) again. Let's see where they're sitting after that lot. <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Reading</st1:city></st1
lace> still have to go to Chelsea, Man U, Arsenal and our place, so that should slow them up a bit.
If we can accept that Man U and Chelsea are out of sight, that leaves <st1lace w:st="on">Liverpool</st1
lace> and The Goons. Pool have done the hard work, and apart from their visit to WHL, will have Chelsea, Man U and The Goons at Anfield. As for The Goons, they still have to come to our place (where we will win - you heard it here first!) and Anfield, and have Man U and Chelsea at home. Chuck in the distraction of the CL and the realisation that they won't win the Prem, and who knows what might happen?
Just like last time after 12 games, we’d just got tonked 3-1 away (<st1:city w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Reading</st1
lace></st1:city>) and everyone was down. So this is something by way of (festive) good cheer and hopefully enough to raise a glass to toast our club.
For it is indeed the season to be Jol-ly. Because we are Tottenham, Super Tottenham, we are Tottenham, from The Lane.
Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!
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The Transfer Rumours and SC ITK forums are now open :-)
The 667 Half Term Report
Discussion in 'Spurscommunity Front Page News' started by BoringOldFan, Dec 23, 2006.
Comments
Discussion in 'Spurscommunity Front Page News' started by BoringOldFan, Dec 23, 2006.
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© Jason Axelrod from 8WayRun.Com
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