BoringOldFan
It's better to burn out than to fade away...
- Sep 20, 2005
- 9,955
- 2,498
How It Works
Ignoring the old cliche of taking it one game at a time, I look at the season in two lots of 6, 6 and 7 games. At the end of each batch I compare this season's results with the same games last season. The promoted teams are paired with last season's relegated teams.
The Story So Far…
It was a poor start to the season, with only four points coming from the first six games, compared to five last season. Surely we could improve on that in the next half dozen matches? Read this and weep, people…
Now Read On…
Despite that fact that we only had a total of 7 from a possible 18 points to beat, we failed again with four, all coming from draws. We started off by dropping two points by allowing last season’s home win over Villa turn into a draw – and we were lucky to get that. But we clawed our way back to level pegging with away draws at Bolton and Liverpool, where we had lost last season.
We managed to equal our 1-3 loss at Newcastle with another one this season, dropped another point by losing at home to Blackburn, and finished this sequence with two more points dropped away at Boro. Some may note that Martin Jol was one point down on last season after 10 games, while Wendy Ramos is two points behind after his first one!
The Next Batch
As it’s the 667 Report, the third batch has seven games. And last season we got 14 from a possible 18 points from them. Match that, Wendy! We had wins against Wigan (H), West Ham (A), Birmingham (H) and Manchester City (H), a draw at Portsmouth (A), a loss at Arsenal (A) and home win over Fulham. Frankly I think we’ll struggle to get into double figures this time.
The Rolling Form Guide
The RFG graphs the number of points won from the previous 6 games. For completeness, the opening game shows the last 6 games from last season. As you can see, we ended on a high, getting 12 from a possible 18 points which equates to a Champions League place. An average of 2 points per game equals 76 points over a season, which should be enough for top four.
But as the graph shows, we pissed that away as last season’s good form was replaced by our current misery. Even the slight upward turn after game 6 (Arsenal at home) was only due to previous losses being replaced by the Bolton, Villa and Liverpool draws. This got us up to 6 points, which from 6 games means 38 over a season and pretty much certain relegation.
We have since slumped down to a level where Points Are Not Tottenham’s Strength (PANTS) and go into the home game against Wigan with only four points from the previous six games.
By way of comparison, we went into our 13th game last season with 11 points from the previous six games. After a rocky start ending in a 0-3 loss at Liverpool, we went on a bit of a run, losing only two in the next 12 games.
From our current position, to get 68 points (good enough for a CL place last season) we would have to average over 13 points in any 6-game sequence between now and the end of the season. If a UEFA Cup place is available for 55 points, we would need to average 11 points per 6-game sequence.
I wouuld say neither scenario is likely.
For confidential emotional support, call The Samaritans on 08457 90 90 90.
Ignoring the old cliche of taking it one game at a time, I look at the season in two lots of 6, 6 and 7 games. At the end of each batch I compare this season's results with the same games last season. The promoted teams are paired with last season's relegated teams.
The Story So Far…
It was a poor start to the season, with only four points coming from the first six games, compared to five last season. Surely we could improve on that in the next half dozen matches? Read this and weep, people…
Now Read On…
Despite that fact that we only had a total of 7 from a possible 18 points to beat, we failed again with four, all coming from draws. We started off by dropping two points by allowing last season’s home win over Villa turn into a draw – and we were lucky to get that. But we clawed our way back to level pegging with away draws at Bolton and Liverpool, where we had lost last season.
We managed to equal our 1-3 loss at Newcastle with another one this season, dropped another point by losing at home to Blackburn, and finished this sequence with two more points dropped away at Boro. Some may note that Martin Jol was one point down on last season after 10 games, while Wendy Ramos is two points behind after his first one!
The Next Batch
As it’s the 667 Report, the third batch has seven games. And last season we got 14 from a possible 18 points from them. Match that, Wendy! We had wins against Wigan (H), West Ham (A), Birmingham (H) and Manchester City (H), a draw at Portsmouth (A), a loss at Arsenal (A) and home win over Fulham. Frankly I think we’ll struggle to get into double figures this time.
The Rolling Form Guide
The RFG graphs the number of points won from the previous 6 games. For completeness, the opening game shows the last 6 games from last season. As you can see, we ended on a high, getting 12 from a possible 18 points which equates to a Champions League place. An average of 2 points per game equals 76 points over a season, which should be enough for top four.
But as the graph shows, we pissed that away as last season’s good form was replaced by our current misery. Even the slight upward turn after game 6 (Arsenal at home) was only due to previous losses being replaced by the Bolton, Villa and Liverpool draws. This got us up to 6 points, which from 6 games means 38 over a season and pretty much certain relegation.
We have since slumped down to a level where Points Are Not Tottenham’s Strength (PANTS) and go into the home game against Wigan with only four points from the previous six games.
By way of comparison, we went into our 13th game last season with 11 points from the previous six games. After a rocky start ending in a 0-3 loss at Liverpool, we went on a bit of a run, losing only two in the next 12 games.
From our current position, to get 68 points (good enough for a CL place last season) we would have to average over 13 points in any 6-game sequence between now and the end of the season. If a UEFA Cup place is available for 55 points, we would need to average 11 points per 6-game sequence.
I wouuld say neither scenario is likely.
For confidential emotional support, call The Samaritans on 08457 90 90 90.
