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Harry Kane

Bluto Blutarsky

Well-Known Member
Mar 4, 2021
15,292
71,172
It feels like people don't understand that there are 3 parties to any potential transaction.

ALL of the parties have leverage.

ALL of the parties have weaknesses.


Spurs have leverage because they have Kane under contract. Spurs do not have to sell to any club, at any price - unless Spurs want to sell.

Kane has leverage because he is under contract, and can insist on seeing out that contract, and refuse all moves to other clubs.

Bayern has leverage because they have what Spurs potentially want, and what Kane potentially wants - money, long-term contract, and opportunity to compete for trophies.



Spurs weakness: financially, they cannot afford to let Kane walk away for free. The cost to replace him and upgrade other positions is significant.

Kane's weakness - he does not know what the market will look like next summer. If he does an ACL in March - what teams will be in, and what kind of long term contract would they offer? Same if Kane has an off-year (we just saw Sonny go from Golden Boot to Hot Mess) - what is the market for a 31 yo striker coming off a down year? Will he get the money or the contract length, or the teams he wants? That is the risk he takes, in addition to playing one of his few remaining years for a team out of European football. If he wants to challenge for trophies - can he afford another year at Spurs?

Bayern's weakness - quite simple, they need a striker now to compete for a CL title, and the chances of signing Kane next summer on a free are much lower, when PL clubs can offer contracts.


The other thing that seems to be lost by a few people here - Would Kane go to Bayern? Of course he would. You don't need a direct statement from Kane to that effect. Teams don't negotiate transfer fees unless and until the buying club has reached an agreement in principle with the player. Bayern don't waste their time negotiating with Spurs unless they have received assurances from Kane's team that Kane would be open to signing with Bayern.


So, contrary to popular belief - all parties have something to gain here, and all parties have something to lose here. This is a complicated negotiation - not one where any party can set ultimatums. Because all of the parties have something to lose if the negotiations fail. Which is not to say that this deal is going to happen - but, if it happens it will be because all 3 parties want it to happen, more than they want it to fail.
 

IfiHadTheWings

Well-Known Member
Aug 5, 2013
3,686
11,676
We got the ffp wiggle room, we buy him to save him rotting on the bench at PSG, play him for a year, then sell him to Madrid next year, recoup our money.

special relationship comes in to play and we get Thomas Gravesen in return :cautious:
 

SpursSince1980

Well-Known Member
Jan 23, 2011
4,758
14,493
it’s quite an easy scenario - pay the money or fuck off.

I don’t really know what Bayern think they’re doing here. They know we’ll keep him even without a new contract. So it’s literally shit or get off the pot.

And at this point I’m starting to not be bothered either way.
Precisely. It’s annoying. Both on Bayern and Harry’s behalf. It is an unneeded distraction at a critical inflection point in the rebuilding of our team.

We would be fools to think this doesn’t impact preparation and squad stability. Which is no longer conjecture, based on Ange’s recent comments.

Either way, this needs to be put to bed within the next 10 days max.
 
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