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New Stadium Details And Discussions

Samson

Well-Known Member
May 14, 2007
1,154
304
'Far cheaper'? Really?

Basically, we don't know that.

Compare net cost of NDP with the cost of

Stratford stadium
plus Crystal Palace (not a joke proposal)
plus S106 costs of Stratford
plus S106 costs of CP
plus annual rent to OPLC
plus annual contribution to legacy fund

Suddenly it starts adding up.

Cheaper? I'd like to see the real not the spinned figures.

Isn't an enormous events company prepared to partner us in Stratford? Why haven't they done the same for the NDP?

And won't we be able to sell much more land in Tottenham for development if we move out, probably without needing to borrow £200 million to develop it? That has to be factored in, too.

That's leaving aside the issues of extra income from naming rights and corporate, on a site that by 2019 will be on the Crossrail route, and the financing costs.

I hope we stay and the NDP happens, but the idea that the move doesn't make a lot of sense from a bottom-line perspective is strange. Indeed, I think it weakens the argument to stay, as it makes it about comparative costs of stadia, rather than about what we would be leaving behind.
 

Super Tottenham

Well-Known Member
Aug 31, 2010
2,654
2,270
No actual figures have been released as the Legacy board have asked for confidentiality. Believed to be in the region of £5m a year, a lot less than the interest on a £450m loan.

£5m a year meaning we pay £1bn over the 200 year lease? Doesn't seem the cheapest option in the long term.
 

worcestersauce

"I'm no optimist I'm just a prisoner of hope
Jan 23, 2006
27,009
45,321
£5m a year meaning we pay £1bn over the 200 year lease? Doesn't seem the cheapest option in the long term.

Unless we can make an extra £5m a year in additional sponsorship which I'd suggest the club believe is very likely at the flagship stadium in the Olympic park.
 

worcestersauce

"I'm no optimist I'm just a prisoner of hope
Jan 23, 2006
27,009
45,321
Are we likely to keep on getting great naming rights after the first sponsorship deal though?
It's not so much what we get for any particular sponsorship it's whether what we get is more than we get from a ground at Whte Hart Lane that is the relevant thing, I believe the club thinks that is potentially the case.
 

StartingPrice

Chief Sardonicus Hyperlip
Feb 13, 2004
32,568
10,280
'Far cheaper'? Really?

Basically, we don't know that.

Compare net cost of NDP with the cost of

Stratford stadium
plus Crystal Palace (not a joke proposal)
plus S106 costs of Stratford
plus S106 costs of CP
plus annual rent to OPLC
plus annual contribution to legacy fund

Suddenly it starts adding up.

Cheaper? I'd like to see the real not the spinned figures.

Isn't an enormous events company prepared to partner us in Stratford? Why haven't they done the same for the NDP?

And won't we be able to sell much more land in Tottenham for development if we move out, probably without needing to borrow £200 million to develop it? That has to be factored in, too.

That's leaving aside the issues of extra income from naming rights and corporate, on a site that by 2019 will be on the Crossrail route, and the financing costs.

I hope we stay and the NDP happens, but the idea that the move doesn't make a lot of sense from a bottom-line perspective is strange. Indeed, I think it weakens the argument to stay, as it makes it about comparative costs of stadia, rather than about what we would be leaving behind.

Thank you, Samson.

SOTM

You are just spinning, again.
The club have made it clear that this is the case...you perspective is that you are vehemently against the move 'and thereforre you WILL NOT accept their statements that this IS the case'.
What Samson has said, here, and mroe, has already been explained to you...rather than asking me to explain it 'again' you could have just went through the thread, and all of the bumph on the subject and compiled a report yourself (as that seems to be the only reason you will believe the blatantly obvious).

As Samson says, the vast majority of us really, really want to stay in Tottenham, but to persist in this 'questioning' (always negative questions, only:shrug:) of the apparent truth that the OS will be far cheaper just makes you seem like an ostrich, I'm afraid.
 

SpurSince57

Well-Known Member
Jan 20, 2006
45,213
8,229
And won't we be able to sell much more land in Tottenham for development if we move out, probably without needing to borrow £200 million to develop it? That has to be factored in, too.

Not necessarily at the price Spurs plc is hoping for, especially as it will presumably still be necessary for any developer to go through the CPO process the Dear Leader says it could take years to complete.
 

michaelden

Knight of the Fat Fanny
Aug 13, 2004
26,469
21,846
Isn't an enormous events company prepared to partner us in Stratford? Why haven't they done the same for the NDP?

Because itas hard to get to :bang:

Are we likely to keep on getting great naming rights after the first sponsorship deal though?

Yes.

Not necessarily at the price Spurs plc is hoping for,*1* especially as it will presumably still be necessary for any developer to go through the CPO process the Dear Leader says it could take years to complete*2*.


*1* - Correct but only as a developer will know Spurs have to sell

*2* - This is entirekly dependant on what the developer plans to do with the land and how Spurs package it up for sale. There is a very likely possiblity that no CPOs will be needed by any other purchasers
 

danielneeds

Kick-Ass
May 5, 2004
24,183
48,814
Looks like we have gone out on the betting too. Currently WH 11/10, Spurs 9/2, Neither 6/4...from Skybet.

With the rumour that Boris wanted us to bid, and with him being one of the people ultimately deciding, I might be tempted at a little longer than 9/2.
 

sloth

Well-Known Member
Mar 7, 2005
9,018
6,900
We ain't saving 200m: nowhere near.

'Far cheaper'? Really?

Basically, we don't know that.

Compare net cost of NDP with the cost of

Stratford stadium
plus Crystal Palace (not a joke proposal)
plus S106 costs of Stratford
plus S106 costs of CP
plus annual rent to OPLC
plus annual contribution to legacy fund

Suddenly it starts adding up.

Cheaper? I'd like to see the real not the spinned figures.

We know the difference in budgeted expenditure between the two is £200m, that's because the architect in charge of both projects has told us it is.

That means our maximum exposure on each project is as follows:

OS/CP - £250m
NDP - £450m

This means that we have to raise £250m finance for the OS, whereas it's £450m for the NDP.

We'll have to borrow money from a bank or banks.

Banks are wary lenders these days. The less sound the investment the more the cost of borrowing goes up.

A bank then, will decide whether to lend us money and at what rate.

According to MattyP, Arsenal managed to borrow at 5% or there abouts.

Man Utd borrowed at 14%.

Liverpool at 10%.

That's an example of the different rates lenders will charge depending on how they rate the riskiness of the venture.

The point Levy's been trying to make is that each additional cost set alongside the reduced budgeted income (250 apartments instead of 450), make the project riskier and so less viable, especially when you consider the impact that will have on the cost of borrowing for us.

Indeed it may be that in the current climate they'll simply refuse to lend to us. But if they do we're far more likely going to be charged at the Utd/Liverpool end of the scale than the Arsenal one.

On the other hand, all the corporate bullshit the OS comes with and the considerably lower level of borrowing required make the OS a far less risky proposition as far as lenders are concerned hence the cost of borrowing is lowered.

Let's consider for a moment how significant the cost of borrowing highlighted above potentially could be.

These are not speculative figures but instead case studies based on the above real world examples.

If we were to be charged at 10% (the lower of the two examples quoted above), then we would be having to pay £45m p/a on interest alone. Over five years that would be £225m just on interest.

If we were charged at the 5% Arsenal secured, then we clealy would be paying half that, £22.5m (£112.5m over five years).

Still a hefty sum.

But on the OS we would be paying £25m (£125m over 5 yrs) at the top rate and only £12.5m (62.5m over 5yrs) at the lower.

Finally, factor in the reality that the NDP is more likely to suffer high interest rates, while the OS more likely to secure low ones and you can start to see why the OS argument stacks up.

In all of this btw. we've only spoken about the cost of borrowing. In order to pay off the debt we'd have to find money over and above all of that quoted above.
 

ShayLaB

Well-Known Member
Dec 8, 2006
1,510
1,689
Looks like we have gone out on the betting too. Currently WH 11/10, Spurs 9/2, Neither 6/4...from Skybet.

With the rumour that Boris wanted us to bid, and with him being one of the people ultimately deciding, I might be tempted at a little longer than 9/2.


Does Boris have a say in the decision on Friday? He always struck me as a thoroughly pragmatic chap...he will want to be sure the solution pays its way.
 

MattyP

Advises to have a beer & sleep with prostitutes
May 14, 2007
14,041
2,980
When is the ultimate decision? OPLC makes recommendation on 28th is that correct?

Board meeting is on the 28th, rumours gathering force that they will not make a decison this month. Even if they do, have read they will continue discussions with the losing party in case the other one pulls out.
 

DiscoD1882

SC Supporter
Mar 27, 2006
6,986
14,848
Looks like we have gone out on the betting too. Currently WH 11/10, Spurs 9/2, Neither 6/4...from Skybet.

With the rumour that Boris wanted us to bid, and with him being one of the people ultimately deciding, I might be tempted at a little longer than 9/2.
Does anyone know how the desicion is made and who is on the board for this desicion?
 
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