Top 4 usually requires right above 70 points. We are on scedule to 72-77.
Many claims it would take 75 to get CL this year, and that may be true, but I personally believe 72-73 is enough as usual.
First: can Arsenal or the other top 3 be caught?
It's 48 points left potentially and we know that we are gonna drop points. Lets assume we carry on taking almost 2 points per game; leaving us with 76 points. Arsenal already have 51 wich means they need 25 points from 16 games. Of course they'll get that!
Chelsea and city will also be out of reach.
Second: let's look at manu:
Having only 37 points gives them a Max potential of 85 points. This means they can only dropp 9-10 points to be safe within top 4. Not gonna happen. If they drop 13-15 it is still a chance. They have already played 2 of the top 9. They have arsenal, everton, newcastle and Southampton away: Even title contenders Expect to lose 6-8 points from those.
They have city and Liverpool at home- should at least drop 2 points. Thats 6 games and 8-10 points dropped. In the remaing 10 games they must win 8 to have a chance at CL.
Our max potential is 91 points. If we win 11 of 16 games we are safely in the top 4. This also apllies for Liverpool and everton of course.
Win 2 and lose 1 the rest of the season or win at home and draw away!
Many claims it would take 75 to get CL this year, and that may be true, but I personally believe 72-73 is enough as usual.
First: can Arsenal or the other top 3 be caught?
It's 48 points left potentially and we know that we are gonna drop points. Lets assume we carry on taking almost 2 points per game; leaving us with 76 points. Arsenal already have 51 wich means they need 25 points from 16 games. Of course they'll get that!
Chelsea and city will also be out of reach.
Second: let's look at manu:
Having only 37 points gives them a Max potential of 85 points. This means they can only dropp 9-10 points to be safe within top 4. Not gonna happen. If they drop 13-15 it is still a chance. They have already played 2 of the top 9. They have arsenal, everton, newcastle and Southampton away: Even title contenders Expect to lose 6-8 points from those.
They have city and Liverpool at home- should at least drop 2 points. Thats 6 games and 8-10 points dropped. In the remaing 10 games they must win 8 to have a chance at CL.
Our max potential is 91 points. If we win 11 of 16 games we are safely in the top 4. This also apllies for Liverpool and everton of course.
Win 2 and lose 1 the rest of the season or win at home and draw away!