Remaining Fixture Difficulty By Team

[Lou3000]

This is a thread from Reddit (u/sarcasm24), but if you take the average points of each team's remaining fixture list you get the following results.

The table below shows the 20 PL teams next to the average point totals of their remaining opponents. The lower the total, the easier the team's remaining schedule is.

TeamRemaining Opponents' Average Points
Leicester 31.6
Man City 32.1
Spurs 32.1
Arsenal 32.2
Man United 32.7
West Ham 33.1
Southampton 31.6
Liverpool 29.6
Stoke 30.4
Watford 32.5
Crystal Palace 32.4
Everton 31.4
West Brom 34.5
Chelsea 32.3
Bournemouth 32.6
Swansea 33.6
Norwich 32.1
Newcastle 31.3
Sunderland 33.4
Aston Villa 33.2


The full list (from easiest schedule to hardest) is as follows:

1. Liverpool
   
   
2. Stoke
   
   
3. Newcastle
   
   
4. Everton
   
   
5. Leicester (!)
   
   
6. Southampton
   
   
7. Man City
   
   
8. Spurs
   
   
9. Norwich
   
   
10. Arsenal
    
    
11. Chelsea
    
    
12. Watford
    
    
13. Crystal Palace
    
    
14. Bournemouth
    
    
15. Man United
    
    
16. West Ham
    
    
17. Aston Villa
    
    
18. Sunderland
    
    
19. Swansea
    
    
20. West Brom

Not science, but interesting that of our closest rivals, only Leicester have an easier run in (City is tied with us).

Also looking at the table, looks like Villa, Sunderland, and Swansea are the most likely relegation candidates.

 

[talkshowhost86]

Whilst it is interesting to look at these sorts of stats generally, I think this season as sort of blown it out of the water.

There are so few teams that look easy to beat these days, and so few teams that are consistently good or bad, that I just don't see how anything can be based on previous form and predicted with any confidence.

Plus, we're Spurs. We could go to the Etihad and win 6-0 and then follow that up with a farcical 4-0 home defeat against Swansea and I wouldn't really be surprised.

 

[tiger666]

Whilst it is interesting to look at these sorts of stats generally, I think this season as sort of blown it out of the water.

There are so few teams that look easy to beat these days, and so few teams that are consistently good or bad, that I just don't see how anything can be based on previous form and predicted with any confidence.

Plus, we're Spurs. We could go to the Etihad and win 6-0 and then follow that up with a farcical 4-0 home defeat against Swansea and I wouldn't really be surprised.

This. Also figuring in things like officials making bad decisions, injuries etc. Just too much in it to predict imo.

 

[Lou3000]

Whilst it is interesting to look at these sorts of stats generally, I think this season as sort of blown it out of the water.

I think it means less for Spurs (we're right in the middle) than it does for those on the top and bottom of that list. Pool has a lot of easy fixtures ahead and United's season doesn't get easier.

 

[Bulletspur]

Whilst it is interesting to look at these sorts of stats generally, I think this season as sort of blown it out of the water.

There are so few teams that look easy to beat these days, and so few teams that are consistently good or bad, that I just don't see how anything can be based on previous form and predicted with any confidence.

Plus, we're Spurs. We could go to the Etihad and win 6-0 and then follow that up with a farcical 4-0 home defeat against Swansea and I wouldn't really be surprised.

Agreed. I personally am taking it one game at a time. Everyone will eventually be playing everyone else so it should only matter after 38 games. Its not as if it was a cup draw where your opponents are pot luck. Not impressed with what these stats are trying to imply

 

[thebenjamin]

Leicester do have a piss run in but wouldn't fancy their last 3 games much:

United away
Everton home
Chelsea away

 

[midoNdefoe]

Whilst it is interesting to look at these sorts of stats generally, I think this season as sort of blown it out of the water.

There are so few teams that look easy to beat these days, and so few teams that are consistently good or bad, that I just don't see how anything can be based on previous form and predicted with any confidence.

Plus, we're Spurs. We could go to the Etihad and win 6-0 and then follow that up with a farcical 4-0 home defeat against Swansea and I wouldn't really be surprised.

I'd say that the farcical 0-4 home defeat would be fairly suprising nowadays. The way the team seem to be working, and i dont want to tempt fate here, we always seem to be in the game and never givng up...

 

[talkshowhost86]

I'd say that the farcical 0-4 home defeat would be fairly suprising nowadays. The way the team seem to be working, and i dont want to tempt fate here, we always seem to be in the game and never givng up...

Tis true that this modern Tottenham don't seem to roll that way.

Which is why I am waiting for them to do it at the most infuriating moment.

 

[The Scarecrow]

Leicester do have a piss run in but wouldn't fancy their last 3 games much:

United away
Everton home
Chelsea away

I also think Leicester will struggle more against the lower half teams now that their game plan is so well known.

 

[longtimespur]

Leicester do have a piss run in but wouldn't fancy their last 3 games much:

United away
Everton home
Chelsea away

and their next two, Man City and Arsenal, so they have 5 games that they'll possibly have trouble to win all 3 points at.
Interesting until the last day this season.

 

[Lou3000]

I also think Leicester will struggle more against the lower half teams now that their game plan is so well known.

Leicester v West Brom. How do you out-park a parked bus?

 

[Everlasting Seconds]

Counts for nothing.