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Game-for-game Comparison

StartingPrice

Chief Sardonicus Hyperlip
Feb 13, 2004
32,568
10,280
Funnily enough, I think we'll beat Citeh at their place.

I don't. We will really miss having Adebayoor up front leading the line.

Well, yeah, there is that...I'm hoping that either we have suitible cover by then, or we have a player (ala Pav) who can put in a performance for us.

Other than that, I watched them yesterday, and they were really stretched by the Goons, I think we can do the same, and, surely, our defence will be just a touch more resolute than the Goons.

But...it goes beyond rational analysis - I feel that we will beat them. Could be wrong, many things will have changed by then, but, like I said, our lot will be fired up, and where we will be coming of the end of a relatively easy run of games, they will be coming of a relatively tough run.
 

fatpiranha

dismember
Jun 9, 2003
8,337
21,678
Sporting Index quote us at 75-76.5 pts.

The African Nations Cup is held between 21st Jan - 12th Feb. This may help us as we are unaffected but in that time we play Man City, Wigan, Liverpool & Newcastle. The teams we want to progress to help us are Cote D'Ivoire and Senegal. Potentially Man City could be missing Yaya and Kolo Toure, Wigan missing Diame, and Newcastle missing Tiote and Demba Ba.

Injuries are clearly the main concern. As our exploits in Europe have shown we really don't have many squad players knocking on the door of the 1st team (with the possible exception of Sandro). We will benefit from not having to play in Europe or for that matter the Carling Cup. Hopefully Harry won't have to play our 1st teamers in the early rounds of the FA Cup. That should keep our players relatively fresh.

We are also more likely than most to add a useful player or two in the January window.

Our run-in looks easy on paper but it's never easy playing teams involved in a relegation scrap. Hopefully this season the relegation issues will be settled early and instead we'll be playing the already doomed and the demotivated mid table safety teams. A tight relegation battle could hurt us.

Taking all the above factors into account I think we have been very fortunate with our fixture list this season. While ultimately it could all fall apart if the likes of Modric, Bale and King pick up bad knocks it does look like it's our best opportunity ever in the premiership and CL qualification should be our minimum ambition.
 

GoldstarYid

Active Member
Jan 23, 2011
866
202
I think it's important to remember we have played all the difficult games really now for the first half of the season. We still have Swansea, Norwich away, Everton home and Chelsea home in this half which we should be able to do well from.

Then next half we have all those dodgy away games, at home ie Wolves, Wigan, West Brom, Newcastle, Stoke although counteracted by Pool, Arse, Citeh and Chavs away.

Overall we have got some of the toughest games out of the way so far so i am very happy as it stands.
 

leffe186

Well-Known Member
Sep 2, 2004
5,359
1,823
Wow, I didn't realise how (relatively) easy our last run of games at the end of the season was - you'd hope to win them all, which would give us a really powerful run of points in the last few weeks, could make a massive difference.

Yes, it's likely that many of those teams will be fighting relegation and therefore will not be easy games - nevertheless you would expect us to be capable of winning most it not all of those last 8.

Yeah, I was thinking about those games. I actually think teams battling against relegation might play into our hands. Like everyone, we struggle to break down teams who come for a point (just look at Newcastle v Swansea), but at that stage they will be trying to get three points. I think it will suit us.
 

phil

Well-Known Member
Oct 25, 2004
2,038
1,239
can someone update this please, i'm guessing were +9 now?

Indeed we are. So if the top 7 replicate their results from last season from here on in, the final positions will be:

United 84pts (+4)
City 81 (+10)
Spurs 71 (+9)
Chelsea 68 (-3)
Arsenal 66 (-2)
Liverpool 62 (+4)
Newcastle 61 (+15)

And relegated will be:

Blackburn 35
QPR 33
Wolves 32

Yesterday's victory has probably kept us safe from relegation worries.
 

Byron

Active Member
Aug 10, 2004
1,076
4
Indeed we are. So if the top 7 replicate their results from last season from here on in, the final positions will be:

United 84pts (+4)
City 81 (+10)
Spurs 71 (+9)
Chelsea 68 (-3)
Arsenal 66 (-2)
Liverpool 62 (+4)
Newcastle 61 (+15)

And relegated will be:

Blackburn 35
QPR 33
Wolves 32

Yesterday's victory has probably kept us safe from relegation worries.
phew, thats a relief :grin:
 

Adam456

Well-Known Member
Jul 1, 2005
4,459
3,127
It's looking very good. We're 5 points ahead of 5th with a game in hand and I'd say that other factors are looking broadly neutral or in our favour:

1. African Cup - Chels, Ars, Citeh most to lose
2. Likely strengthening of us vs other sides in the window - Chels, Ars the most, Citeh, Liv (I would think) the least
3. Our form vs others - this pretty much goes with league position except swapping Chels and Ars around so we're looking good
4. Players injured and returning from injury - we look good here with no new long-termers and Lennon, Daws and Hudd to return in the next month or so. ManU and Ars look worst
5. Suspensions/bans/court cases - Liv worst with Suarez almost certain to miss a chunk of games. J Terry ban would be a big bonus (despite what some people have said about his ability recently)
6. Involvement in Europe - we're in the best position as we're out. Chels and Ars worst as they're in a tournament they actually care about)
7. Head to head fixtures - worst for us because we have to play Chels, Ars, Liv, Citeh away
 

Star_of_Davids

Well-Known Member
Aug 31, 2005
490
281
It's looking very good. We're 5 points ahead of 5th with a game in hand and I'd say that other factors are looking broadly neutral or in our favour:

1. African Cup - Chels, Ars, Citeh most to lose
2. Likely strengthening of us vs other sides in the window - Chels, Ars the most, Citeh, Liv (I would think) the least
3. Our form vs others - this pretty much goes with league position except swapping Chels and Ars around so we're looking good
4. Players injured and returning from injury - we look good here with no new long-termers and Lennon, Daws and Hudd to return in the next month or so. ManU and Ars look worst
5. Suspensions/bans/court cases - Liv worst with Suarez almost certain to miss a chunk of games. J Terry ban would be a big bonus (despite what some people have said about his ability recently)
6. Involvement in Europe - we're in the best position as we're out. Chels and Ars worst as they're in a tournament they actually care about)
7. Head to head fixtures - worst for us because we have to play Chels, Ars, Liv, Citeh away

We are the ones with by far the most to lose on court cases. It is my one worry that could derail our season
 

Tryph

Active Member
Jan 20, 2005
2,558
14
FYI, Arsenal and Chelsea's game for game comparison is -2 and -3 points respectively.
 

Lo Amo Speroni

Only been in match thread once.
Aug 9, 2010
1,995
5,662
Plus 10, not yet halfway through the season is excellent going. Bloody exciting times these.
 

nicdic

Official SC Padre
Admin
May 8, 2005
41,857
25,920
Updated...

Points difference so far + 12pts.
Current points per game = 2.21pts
for a season = 83.98pts
 

InOffMeLeftShin

Night watchman
Admin
Jan 14, 2004
15,105
9,122
Updated...

Points difference so far + 12pts.
Current points per game = 2.21pts
for a season = 83.98pts

Not convinced by your maths there nic. 42 points after 19 means 84 after 38. What happened to the other 0.02?
 

Donki

Has a "Massive Member" Member
May 14, 2007
14,455
18,975
So if this was last season we would be on course to winning it by 3.98 points lol
 
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